STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF NATURAL AND CLIMATIC FACTORS ON THE EPISOOTIC PROCESS OF RABIES
Keywords:
rabies,, epizootic process, climatic conditions, temperature,, precipitation.Abstract
The article presents the current epizootic situation for rabies in the republic in the period from 2008
to 2019. The dynamics of the development of rabies epizootic situation against the background of modern
climate changes is considered. Correlation-regression analysis was carried out between hotbeds of rabies in
certain years and average annual temperature indicators. Revealed both positive and negative correlation
dependence between the considered indicators. In the process of studying this dependence, the influence of
not only positive, but also negative temperature marks on the manifestation and spread of rabies infection
was established. The role of abnormal weather conditions, high and low average annual temperatures in
years on the leading indicators of the epizootic process of rabies is highlighted and described. Some
territorial and seasonal features of the manifestation of the disease in the course of climate change have
been analyzed. It was found that with an increase in the average annual temperature by 1-2 ℃, a
corresponding increase in rabies cases occurs, while in years with unfavorable climatic conditions,
expressed by low and abnormally low temperatures, rabies registration declines. An attempt is made to
provide a logical explanation of the revealed dependence.
Key words: rabies, epizootic process, climatic conditions, temperature, precipitation.
